2019-20 Premier League: Week 38 – Arsenal vs Watford

Date: Sunday 26 July 2020 (4:00pm BST), Venue: Emirates Stadium

Relegation battling Watford face a tough final day test as they visit Arsenal at the Emirates Stadium. 

Arsenal could finish the season in eighth with a win, whereas Watford realistically need a victory plus goal difference to swing in their favour unless Villa to drop points at West Ham.

Should both the Hornets and Villains lose then relegation could come down to goal difference depending on margins of defeat on final day for both teams unless Bournemouth win at Everton to send them both down. 

 

Team News

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Reiss Nelson is a doubt for Arsenal with a groin injury and is unlikely to be risked ahead of next Saturday’s FA Cup Final against Chelsea.

Bernd Leno, Calum Chambers, Gabriel Martinelli (all knee), Pablo Mari (ankle), Shkodran Mustafi (hamstring), Mesut Ozil (back) and Matteo Guendouzi (discipline) are all still sidelined. 

Watford could hand Etienne Capoue a late fitness test on an unspecified injury, which has sidelined the midfielder in their last two matches. 

Daryl Janmaat and Gerard Deulofeu (both knee) remain absent alongside Isaac Success who has been out with an Achilles injury since the season restarted. 

 

Stat Attack

  • Arsenal are unbeaten in their last four meetings against Watford (W3, D1). 
  • Watford have won two of their last five trips to Arsenal in all competitions (W2, L3). 
  • Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang has scored three goals in his last two Arsenal appearances against Watford (W2). 
  • No Arsenal player has picked up the Golden Boot in consecutive seasons since Thierry Henry achieved the feat on three successive occasions between 2003-06 seasons. 
  • Watford’s Ben Foster has conceded 61 goals in the league this season, which is his worst ever single season tally in a 14 season spell as a Premier League goalkeeper. 

 

Prediction

With Arsenal having nothing to play for, I expect Mikel Arteta to rest some key players including Aubameyang and and Alexandre Lacazette ahead of next Saturday’s FA Cup Final.

Watford however have to simply come out and play attacking football otherwise I just can’t see them surviving if they put in another performance like they did on Tuesday against Manchester City, so the first goal could be key. 

This being the final day though, I do expect one or two twists and if Watford score first and Villa are losing at West Ham in the closing stages, defending will then be key but I am going for an Arsenal win given the Hornets’ poor away record against the Gunners.

Prediction: Arsenal 2-1 Watford

Result: Arsenal 3-2 Watford (Watford are RELEGATED!!!)

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