2018-19 Sky Bet Championship: Swansea vs Derby

Derby head to Swansea for a crucial Sky Bet Championship clash at the Liberty Stadium, where they could all but guarantee a play-off spot with victory. 

Swansea are playing for pride here whilst Derby must win otherwise they are in a three way shootout for the final play-off spot on Sunday against Middlesbrough and Bristol City, with the toughest final day fixture out of the three. 

 

Team news

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Leroy Fer has been ruled out of Swansea’s final two matches with a knee strain to end what has been an injury disrupted season. 

Martin Olsson (Achilles) is the Swans’ only other absentee as Graham Potter has a near full squad available to select from. 

Derby could be without Fikayo Tomori after he was subbed early on with a dead leg at Bristol City on Saturday. 

Craig Bryson and Andy King ( both ankle) and Ashley Cole (groin) remained sidelined as Duane Holmes is in contention after recovering from a thigh injury.

 

Stat Attack

  • Swansea have won two of their last five meetings with Derby (W2, D1, L2). 
  • Swansea have lost their last two meetings with Derby by 2-1 results.
  • Two of last three league meetings at the Liberty Stadium have ended in draws, with Swansea winning the other by a single goal by Fede Bessone. 
  • 12 of Harry Wilson’s 14 goals this season have come in the Championship, and is Derby’s top scorer this season. 
  • Oli McBurnie has scored in 48.5% of his games for Swansea this season. 

 

Prediction

With a play-off spot within reach, this is a huge test for a Derby side who in recent weeks have shown a tendency to grind out wins yet are vulnerable at set pieces and have West Brom to come on the final day. 

Swansea however were a difficult side to beat at home in April, dropping only two points so I am expecting a proper test of Derby’s defence here from the in-form Oli McBurnie because this won’t be an easy task. 

I am therefore expecting a good open game as Derby must go for it here, otherwise I can’t see them finishing sixth but Swansea have scored at least twice in their last six home matches. 

Prediction: Swansea City 2-2 Derby County

Result: Swansea City 1-1 Derby County

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