Southampton head to Everton knowing that if other results go against them coupled with a defeat here, they could find themselves four points adrift of safety going into the final midweek.
If that scenario does happen, the Saints need a midweek win at Swansea City to take the relegation fight to last day of season.
Everton could name an unchanged squad for this match, although Mason Holgate (ankle) and Gylfi Sigurdsson (knee) are nearly ready to return.
It is thought that the pair are unlikely to feature here but could return for Everton’s final game of season at West Ham next Sunday.
James McCarthy (leg), Eliaquim Mangala (knee) and Dominic Calvert-Lewin (back) are all sidelined for remainder of season.
Southampton’s only absentee is Steven Davis (Achilles) but he could return for their final day game against Manchester City.
Sofiane Boufal’s fate is unclear after the winger was suspended following a clash with manager, Mark Hughes nearly a fortnight ago.
Since an Easter Saturday home defeat to Manchester City, Everton have drawn then won their four recent games in succession.
They have kept two clean sheets in three of those games, only conceding at Swansea.
Southampton are unbeaten in last two league games, having lost their previous four beforehand.
The Saints have scored twice in three of their last four league games, with Dusan Tadic scoring three of those goals including a brace against Bournemouth last time out.
- Everton are unbeaten in three of last five meetings in this fixture (W2 D1 L2).
- Three of those games have been won by a three goal margin.
- Everton are unbeaten in last 12 home matches against the Saints (W9, D3).
- Both teams have scored twice on counter attacks this season.
Where can game be won or lost?
|Per Game Average||Everton (home)||Southampton (away)|
|Shots on Target||3.17||3.24|
|Goals per First Half %||25.9||46.7|
|Goals per Second Half %||74.1||53.3|
We could have a potentially open game on our hands because both teams appear to be evenly matched all over pitch and in discipline.
Clinical finishing ultimately could be key because Southampton average less than a goal per away game.
There is however hope for the Saints in that their away goal per half averages seem consistent whereas Everton seems to find another level in second half.
If Southampton want the win, I think that they going to need to score in both halves and keep a tight defence when the Toffees attack.
Southampton will be in high confidence after a vital home win last time out so come here ready to try and make it two consecutive league wins on bounce.
Everton meanwhile are safe with nothing left to fight for and might therefore be slightly vulnerable here against a pumped up away team.
Although Everton are often good at home, I think Southampton will just have that extra desire in them here.
Prediction: Everton 1-2 Southampton
Jake predicts: Everton 2-0 Southampton
Result: Everton 1-1 Southampton