Burnley welcome Chelsea to Turf Moor for what will be a pivotal game in race for Europe.

Burnley enter this knowing that victory and thus, league double over Chelsea will send them sixth and above Arsenal, who currently occupy that guaranteed Europa League qualification spot.

Antonio Conte’s men however need a win here if are to reopen the race for fourth and Champions League football against Tottenham Hotspur.

 

Team news

Nkoudou on loan at Burnley.jpg

Tottenham loanee, Georges-Kevin N’koudou could potentially return from a hamstring injury for Burnley.

Scott Arfield is close to making a recovery from a calf strain but is ruled out of this match. 

Ben Mee (calf), Steven Defour, Robbie Brady and Jonathan Walters (knee) are all ruled out possibly for rest of season.

Chelsea come here without full back, Marcos Alonso who is expected to be banned for three games after an incident at Southampton on Saturday. 

David Luiz (knee & ankle) and Danny Drinkwater (groin) will be missing from Chelsea squad. 

Midfielder, Ross Barkley could be handed a start as Antonio Conte rotates his squad. 

Emerson Palmieri could come into defence here. 

 

Form

Wood against Hammers.jpg

Burnley enter this match looking to extend their winning streak to six games.

Four of their five wins on this streak have been 2-1, except for the 3-0 win at West Ham United.

Chris Wood have scored five goals during this run, making him the Clarets’ top scorer with ten goals this season.

Chelsea meanwhile come here in inconsistent form, taking ten points out of a possible 27 from last nine league matches.

Just three of those ten points came away from home, when Chelsea came back from 2-0 down to beat Southampton 3-2 at weekend. 

The Blues have scored just five goals in last four away games, conceding nine in the process. 

 

Stat Attack

  • Burnley ended a winless run of six games in this fixture across all competitions, when they won 3-2 at Chelsea in August.
  • In three Premier League meetings at Turf Moor, both teams have scored in each meeting.
  • Burnley’s last league double came 49 years ago in 1968-69 season, when they won 3-2 at Stamford Bridge after taking a 2-1 win here. 
  • Burnley have the second best home fouls average at 8.69, just behind Bournemouth who average 8.59 fouls at home.
  • Chelsea’s Oliver Giroud is the top scoring sub with six goals this season and is only five off the Premier League record, currently held by Jermain Defoe. 
  • Burnley haven’t lost in last seven midweek Premier League matches at home and are yet to lose a match in which Chris Wood has scored.

 

Where can game be won or lost?

Per Game Average Burnley (home) Chelsea (away)
Corners 5.06 4.75
Fouls 8.69 9.38
Shots 11.25 13.56
Shots on Target 3.5 4.88
Goals 0.88 1.81
Yellow Cards 1.63 1.25
Red Cards 0 1
Goals per First Half % 42.9 44.8
Goals per Second Half % 57.1 55.2

This might look like Chelsea’s to lose but Burnley do have a fighting chance.

Chelsea will probably dominate the attack but Burnley don’t draw many fouls and tend to step up their own attack in second half. 

Should that happen then the Blues need to keep their discipline because Burnley are solid at home, so will probably and try to frustrate Chelsea into losing their cool. 

Either way, this should be a competitive game because Turf Moor doesn’t see many goals and both teams tend to grow throughout the match.

 

Prediction

Chelsea will probably rest players here ahead of Sunday’s FA Cup semi final, so I expect Burnley to take the game to Chelsea.

If the Clarets need hope, they got the knowledge that they won a five goal thriller at Stamford Bridge on opening weekend.

They also got a win by same scoreline as well as a 2-1 home win when last did the double nearly 50 years ago, so I am going for a repeat home win result akin to that season.

Prediction: Burnley 2-1 Chelsea

Jake predicts: Burnley 1-0 Chelsea

Result: Burnley 1-2 Chelsea

 

One Comment on “Burnley vs Chelsea

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