This weekend’s Premier League action concludes with a Super Easter Sunday blockbuster as Chelsea welcome Tottenham Hotspur to Stamford Bridge.
Since taking a 2-1 win in February 1990, Tottenham have not won in last 30 visits across all competitions.
That means that they must overcome a hoodoo as both clubs fight for a top four finish. Spurs can stretch their lead with a draw or win to six or eight points, whilst Chelsea can cut it down to four or two depending on result.
Chelsea could call up reserve keeper, Willy Caballero after Belgian, Thibaut Courtois suffered a hamstring strain.
Danish defender, Andreas Christiansen is doubtful for this match due to fatigue.
Ross Barkley is still regaining full fitness after a hamstring injury whilst David Luiz remains sidelined.
Tottenham could hand Harry Kane a place on bench, just three weeks after he suffered ankle ligament damage in win over Bournemouth.
Harry Winks however remains out with an ankle injury.
In nine league games in 2018, Chelsea have won just three, drawn two and lost four.
Their last three wins have however been bookended by two consecutive losses in between each victory.
The Blues have conceded in five of last six league matches, letting in 11 goals although their last leak was a Martin Kelly own goal for Crystal Palace.
Goal wise, their key assets are midfield wingers, Eden Hazard and Willian who have seven goals between them this calendar year in the league.
Tottenham however are unbeaten since mid December, taking 30 points from last 12 league matches.
In that run, they have scored 28 goals and conceded just seven times.
Surprisingly just 11 of goals came from Kane with seven of the other goals being produced by Heung-Min Son.
Four of Son’s goals have come in the last two league games against Huddersfield and Bournemouth respectively.
- Chelsea have avoided a home league defeat since February 1990 to Spurs, taking 18 wins and 9 draws.
- Tottenham’s last two visits here have seen them score first but fail to win, drawing 2-2 in May 2016 to hand Leicester the title before losing last season when 1-0 up.
- Under Mauricio Pochettino, Spurs have won just once against their fellow ‘Big Six’ rivals.
- Chelsea have failed to score just three times in this fixture during this decade, drawing first two blanks 0-0 before losing 2-0 at White Hart Lane last season to end their 13 match unbeaten run.
- Since Antonio Conte arrived at Chelsea last season, there has been nine different goal scorers in three meetings across all competitions in this fixture, with Tottenham’s Dele Alli the top scorer on three goals.
Where can game be won or lost?
|Per Game Average||Chelsea (home)||Tottenham Hotspur (away)|
|Shots on Target||7.53||5|
|Shots per First Half %||46.2||42.9|
|Shots per Second Half %||53.8||57.1|
Chelsea look like they are the favourites here with a superior attacking average in all areas.
If they can win the attack department, they need to ensure that their clinical finishing is on song given that Tottenham average higher when it matters.
What could very well be the key factor in the result is discipline.
I say this because between them, both sides have seen five red cards – Chelsea had three at home whilst Spurs’ two came away from Wembley.
Chelsea’s foul average is 1.2 fouls better off than their North London visitors, but this could very well play into Spurs’ hands if can frustrate the Blues and force their discipline to implode.
Do that and Spurs will surely win it if Kane comes off the bench.
This will be tough because both teams need the win for their top four hopes.
Chelsea might have dominated this fixture in the Premier League but Tottenham look better placed, if rumours of Antonio Conte’s brutal training sessions are true.
Prediction: Chelsea 1-2 Tottenham Hotspur
Jake predicts: Chelsea 2-2 Tottenham Hotspur
Result: Chelsea 1-3 Tottenham Hotspur