Just days after meeting in the Carabao Cup final at Wembley, Arsenal lock horns with Manchester City again but this time in the Premier League in a rescheduled match.

The Citizens took a comfortable 3-0 win on Sunday, heaping further pressure on Arsene Wenger.

Already ten points adrift of a Champions League spot, this is a must win match if Wenger is to turn around Arsenal’s fortunes.

 

Team news

Monreal.jpg

Nacho Monreal is expected to be rested after being subbed at Wembley with back injury. (Copyright The Arsenal Football Club plc)

Henrikh Mkhitaryan is available for Arsenal, having sat out Sunday’s cup final through ineligibility.

Nacho Monreal picked up a back injury last time out so is expected to miss this match.

Manchester City midfielder, Fernandinho is a doubt with a hamstring strain.

Raheem Sterling is set to miss out as he recovers from injury whilst Fabian Delph remains suspended.

 

Form

Arsenal enter this clash off the back of two defeats in last seven days against City and Ostersunds FK.

Their last league game came on 10th February, losing 1-0 at Tottenham Hotspur but are unbeaten at home in league this calendar year from three games.

Across those games, they netted 11 times and conceded four, at rate of at least one per game.

Manchester City have won two of their last three, all coming in cup competitions.

They scored seven goals across those games with the only conceded goal, coming in FA Cup at Wigan Athletic.

League wise, City have been solid at home with a 5-1 win over Leicester but have drawn two and lost one of last three away matches.

That defeat came at fellow top six club, Liverpool in a thriller so there is hope for Arsenal here.

 

Stat Attack

  • Manchester City lost their first game since winning the League Cup in 2014 & 16. The former came in FA Cup against Wigan whilst 16 was a league game at Liverpool, coincidentally also being played days after met in League Cup final.
  • Two of the last three league meetings at the Emirates in this fixture have finished 2-2.
  • Arsenal’s home tally of 32 points is only bettered by their opposition and Manchester United.
  • A win will see Manchester City do the league double over Arsenal for first time since 1975-76.
  • City last went four games without an away league win in September – December 2015 under Manuel Pellegrini.

 

Where game be won and lost

Per Game Average Arsenal (home) Manchester City (away)
Corners 7.23 7.54
Fouls 9.69 8.85
Shots 19 17.23
Shots on Target 7.69 6.15
Goals 2.77 2.23
Yellow Cards 1.23 1.92
Red Cards 0 1
Goals in First Half % 50 44.8
Goals in Second Half % 50 55.2

Arsenal have the edge being at home because they attack more with stronger discipline.

Their goal percentage for each half is the same so will be able to challenge throughout the game, as Man City grow more into game after half time.

Pep Guardiola’s Citizens edge the corner average but are less disciplined with higher average of yellows and one red card.

They also have a remarkably low fouls average for any team away from home in English football.

Overall, Arsenal will edge the attack but the game could be lost in the fouls and discipline department for neither team.

 

Prediction

Looking at those stats and City’s recent record, I would say 2-1 to Arsenal but I can’t see that happening here.

Given that both managers will rotate squads and got tough games on Sunday – Arsenal away at Brighton and Man City host Chelsea, I can see a draw here.

Prediction: Arsenal 1-1 Manchester City

Jake predicts: Arsenal 0-2 Manchester City

Result: Arsenal 0-3 Manchester City

 

Prediction Wars

Here at Sport Grill, me and Middlesbrough FC writer,  Jake Self are going head to head predicting  this season’s Premier League games.

This is how things stand after the previous round of games along with the rules.

Correct score – 3 points
Correct result – 1 point
Incorrect result – 0 points

Name Points
James Gregory 172
Jake Self 180

 

Leave a Reply

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.

Translate »
%d bloggers like this: