Premier League

PL – Wednesday 29th November

After Tuesday’s Premier League action, attention now turns to the top half with Arsenal, Burnley, Liverpool and Manchester City in action amongst others.

 

Arsenal vs Huddersfield

After losing a half time lead at home to Manchester City, Huddersfield need to recover fast as they head to Arsenal.

Arsenal are starting to find their feet and are unbeaten at the Emirates so far this season, making this task even tougher.

Huddersfield haven’t won here since 1954, scoring just four goals in eight subsequent visits.

Throw in their away goal average of 0.5 goals per away game and no goals in last six away trips, then they have a problem.

If we look at the graphs above from Footstats.co.uk, Arsenal are clearly dangerous at home with an average of 19 shots per game.

Their on target and goal averages are also much stronger than the Terriers (who average higher for fouls) although both seem to have disciplinary issues.

Although Arsene Wenger has lost more games in November than any other month, I can see them winning this with ease if Huddersfield aren’t strong enough.

Prediction: Arsenal 3-0 Huddersfield

Jake predicts: Arsenal 3-0 Huddersfield

Result: Arsenal 5-0 Huddersfield

 

Bournemouth vs Burnley

Bournemouth enter this fixture in fine form, having not lost this month but face a tough Burnley side.

Burnley however have just one loss on the road this season (3-0 at Manchester City), taking 12 points from six away games.

Last season saw both teams meet in top flight for first time, each winning their home fixture so expect a tight game.

Dean Court has often been a league bogey ground for Burnley, who took two wins (1995 & 2000) on South Coast, but I think this is their time and the opportunity to keep pace with the big guns will drive them to three points here.

Prediction: Bournemouth 1-2 Burnley

Jake predicts: Bournemouth 1-1 Burnley

Result: Bournemouth 1-2 Burnley

 

Chelsea vs Swansea

Chelsea will be hoping for a win here as they start to hunt Manchester United down for second in the Premier League table.

One problem that might put a spanner in works is that they haven’t played at home since 4th November, which could give Swansea an opportunity if the Blues don’t settle quickly.

Chelsea might rule this fixture with seven wins and four draws but have struggled recently.

Across last four meetings, Antonio Conte’s men have taken just five points (W1, D2, L1) compared to a maximum 12 from the preceding four beforehand.

From six away games, Swansea have lost last three but taken five points (W1, D2) with three of those away ties coming in London.

August saw them win at Crystal Palace before drawing 0-0 with Tottenham at Wembley. They then lost 2-1 to Arsenal last month.

Could they be about to develop a WDL pattern by winning here?

Sadly as much as it would be nice, I can only see a Chelsea victory coming.

Prediction: Chelsea 2-0 Swansea

Jake predicts: Chelsea 2-0 Swansea

Result Chelsea 1-0 Swansea

 

Everton vs West Ham

David Moyes returns to his old stomping ground as West Ham visit Everton at Goodison Park.

Having previously returned as Man Utd (2013-14) and Sunderland (2016-17) manager, Moyes lost both trips by 2-0 score lines.

This match is also a relegation six pointer because of West Brom’s draw with Newcastle. If West Ham win, they will jump to safely leaving Everton in the bottom three. 

Both teams tend to score in contrasting halves so expect a fierce battle here, especially if both teams’ defence are shambolic.

Everton currently have eight league home goals to their name with six of those goals coming after half time.

The Hammers are worse with just five away goals and four have come in first half.

Everton fans however can take heart from how tight their home average has been in several areas.

 

Everton per home match average
Can Everton improve their per home game averages?

 

They win out in term of fouls per home game against previous league visitors this season but aren’t behind in other areas like ‘Corners’ and ‘Shots’.

The area that ultimately cost them is their ‘Shots on target’ and ‘Goals’ because this is key in terms of actually getting results.

You could also argue that their disciplinary record is also a weakness with more yellows than those visiting Goodison Park.

West Ham are also poor but on the road.

 

West Ham away average per match
West Ham’s poor away average

 

Like the Toffees, West Ham are poor in discipline and also lose out on fouls average.

In terms of prediction, we should see both teams score but Everton are disastrous at minute defensively with so much space.

For that reason, I expect West Ham to hammer home a late winner and end Moyes’ run of disastrous returns to Merseyside.

Prediction: Everton 1-2 West Ham

Jake predicts: Everton 1-2 West Ham

Result: Everton 4-0 West Ham 

 

Manchester City vs Southampton

Manchester City had to dig deep at Huddersfield to emerge victorious after a test of their title credentials.

This fixture has belonged to the Citizens in recent years with five wins, two draws and a defeat from last eight meetings, but all barring one match has seen both teams score.

Although Southampton’s away record is poor, I expect City to brush them aside here purely because they are in rampant form and yet to lose.

Prediction: Manchester City 4-0 Southampton

Jake predicts: Manchester City 2-0 Southampton

Result: Manchester City 2-1 Southampton

 

Stoke vs Liverpool

Liverpool will be confident of more points, after taking four points from their last two league games.

Stoke on other hand are near the drop and need victory if want to ease pressure on Mark Hughes.

Since the Potters were promoted to top flight in 2008, Liverpool have a (W4, D2, L4) record at the BET365 Stadium.

Luckily, Stoke are struggling at home with two wins so will be vulnerable against a strong Reds’ team.

Although Stoke will be up for this game, I am expecting a Liverpool win regardless of whether clubs can cut the mustard on a wet and windy Premier League night in Stoke.

Prediction: Stoke 0-2 Liverpool

Jake predicts: Stoke 1-0 Liverpool

Result: Stoke 0-3 Liverpool

 

 

 

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