This week’s Monday Night Football sees Brighton & Hove Albion entertain Stoke City at the AMEX Stadium. 

Brighton are currently on a good run and will be hoping to extend that run against a struggling Stoke side, who languish near the relegation zone. 

 

Team News 

The Seagulls have no fresh injury problems to report ahead of this fixture.

Steve Sidwell however is still out with a back injury. 

Stoke are expected to change their goalkeeper, after Jack Butland broke a finger on international duty for England.

Lee Grant is the man expected to come in and be between the two sticks. 

Defender, Geoff Cameron is still missing as he continues to recover from the after effects of a concussion during training. 

 

Form

Chris Houghton’s Brighton have lost just one of their last five games, picking up 14 points to move themselves up the table. 

Stoke on other hand have been inconsistent in that period, collecting a meagre seven points. 

Their away record too is concerning, having recorded four losses from five away games this season but won their last away match 1-0 at Watford. 

 

Clinical finishing needed

If look at the graph below, the Seagulls have struggled at home discipline wise compared to the opposition, having drawn more yellow cards and fouls. 

They have also bettered previous visitors in the goal average area and run them close in the ‘Shots on Target’ statistics. 

With that in mind, Brighton need to be at their clinical best here if want to win. 

 

Brighton per home game stats

Brighton’s per home game average stats

 

 

Stat Attack

  • Both teams tend to score more in second half, (Brighton – 83.3%) and (Stoke – 60%)
  • They also concede more after half time with the Seagulls having the bigger conceding average for second half (80%) to the Potters’ (54.5%)
  • Stoke have won their last eight meetings in this fixture across all competitions with 19 goals and just three conceded goals

 

Prediction

Realistically, this looks like a Stoke win given their recent superiority in this fixture. 

I however feel that this will be tight with Brighton winning it by a single goal because Stoke are clearly struggling and the Amex Stadium has been a tough place to go for midfield teams. 

Prediction: Brighton & Hove Albion 1-0 Stoke City

Jake predicts: Brighton & Hove Albion 1-1 Stoke City

Result: Brighton & Hove Albion 2-2 Stoke City

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