It might be Bonfire night but the day sees several Premier League clubs aim to create their own fireworks.

An explosive day kicks off with a London derby at Wembley as Tottenham hosts Crystal Palace.

Attention then blasts up north to the Etihad as leaders, Manchester City meet Arsenal in a huge mid afternoon showdown.

To wrap the day up, Manchester United and Watford aim to sparkle as they travel to Chelsea and Everton respectively.

 

Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace (12:00pm, BT Sport 1)

Tottenham enter this game in fine form, despite losing last time out at Man Utd.

After showing wobbly home form throughout August and September, Spurs have found their feet, taking two wins from their last three at home in all competitions.

What is going to be interesting now is to see how strong Tottenham are, having beaten the reigning champions of Europe – Real Madrid 3-1 on Tuesday at home.

Crystal Palace on other hand are rock bottom but snatched a late point last weekend against West Ham.

The Eagles however are a shambles away from home, having not scored or won on the road since beating Liverpool in April.

Following that win, they have lost their last seven away matches (eight if count in their 4-1 Carabao Cup loss at Bristol City).

Quite frankly, there is little point mulling over per game averages because I can only see one winner.

James predicts: Tottenham Hotspur 2-0 Crystal Palace

Jake predicts: Tottenham Hotspur 3-0 Crystal Palace

Result: Tottenham Hotspur 1-0 Crystal Palace

 

Manchester City vs Arsenal (2:15pm, Sky Sports PL)

Manchester City enter this game still unbeaten in all competitions but face an Arsenal side, who will love to end that run.

Both teams have scored 66.7% of their home/away goals in the second half so expect bit of a quiet first half.

When it comes to opposition scoring, the Citizens have conceded 66.7% of their goals at home before half time.

Arsenal have the same conceding percentage but they tend to let in away goals during the second half.

Man City however have been super dominant at home, bettering their visitors in all areas.

 

Man City per home game average before Arsenal visit

Manchester City per home game averages

Arsenal definitely has a tough task on their hands given the huge gulf between City and their previous guests this season in the shots, on target and goals categories.

The Northerners are also well disciplined, having averaged few less fouls and yellows than those visiting the Etihad.

Now let move on to the actual head to head figures for both teams, Man City (home) and Arsenal (away).

Home/Away per game averages Manchester City Arsenal
Corners  6.4 5
Fouls 7.6 11.8
Shots 18.4 15.2
Shots on target 8.6 5.6
Goals 4.2 1.2
Yellow Cards 1.6 1.6
Red Cards 1 0

Set pieces probably are Arsenal’s best hopes of getting at least a draw, given City’s domination everywhere else.

Both teams have averaged 1.6 yellow cards so if the Gunners can force City to crack and pick up more yellows, that might help their chances of getting anything at the Etihad.

In the end, I am expecting Pep Guardiola to guide his side to another victory.

James predicts: Manchester City 2-1 Arsenal

Jake predicts: Manchester City 2-0 Arsenal

Result: Manchester City 3-1 Arsenal 

 

Chelsea vs Manchester United (4:30pm, Sky Sports PL)

Antonio Conte needs his Chelsea players to deliver as fresh questions start to circulate over his team management, following a spade of injuries and dodgy performances.

Jose Mourinho on other hand will be hoping to avoid another annihilation by his former club, after they thrashed them here 4-0 last season before taking a 1-0 win in their FA Cup quarter final meeting at start of March.

This fixture has belonged to Chelsea, who have lost just one of their last 15 home games against United in the League.

They however haven’t won back to back home games this season so are vulnerable against the Red Devils, who have conceded just four goals in the league this campaign.

Both teams have scored more of their goals after half time, which probably fits Mourinho’s ‘Park the bus’ approach against big teams.

If look at the per home/away game average for both teams, they have averaged 1.6 goals each.

Chelsea’s home discipline however is concerning with three red cards whilst their visitors haven’t received any.

Now looking at the actual figures for both teams, the Blues better United in terms of corners, shots and shots on targets.

Yet their goal average is the same making a draw likely.

I however think United will have that bit extra within them to win this, especially if Chelsea let their poor discipline strike again.

James predicts: Chelsea 0-1 Manchester United

Jake predicts: Chelsea 1-0 Manchester United

Result: Chelsea 1-0 Manchester United

 

Everton vs Watford (4:30pm, not on UK TV)

Everton enter this game in relegation form (albeit already sitting in relegation zone), having not won in all competitions since mid September.

If the Toffees are hoping for any relief here, forget it because this Watford side are a strong unit and are capable of punishing defensive errors.

The Hornets have also won three of their five away games so far, despite letting a 2-1 lead at Chelsea slip to a 4-2 defeat a fortnight ago.

If want to see how bad Everton’s defence is especially at home, take a look at the graphic below.

 

Everton per home game average before Watford arrive

Everton’s per home game average as of 4/11/2017

 

As you can see, the Toffees lose out to their visitors in three key areas; Shots, Shots on Target and Goals.

The fact that their visitors to Goodison Park average two goals per game whilst they can only muster one is something to be alarmed about.

Their discipline record too is woeful with far more fouls and yellow cards.

I have to say that they are probably lucky to have seen just one red card at home this season, given how aggressive they have clearly been.

Watford in comparison, have dominated in the key areas when away from Vicarage Road compared to those hosting them.

Watford before trip to Everton per game average

They have also averaged more fouls than Everton so this could be a real scrappy fight.

Like those who have already been to the blue side of Merseyside, Watford have averaged two away goals.

Those stats for both teams are making me think that this will be a tight battle, although the Hornets have lost nine of their ten top flights trip to Everton.

Come full time, I can see Watford emerging as the victors if they are defensively solid and take their chances clinically.

James predicts: Everton 0-2 Watford

Jake predicts: Everton 1-2 Watford

Result: Everton 3-2 Watford

 

2 Comment on “Who will deliver a Super firework Sunday?

  1. Pingback: Watford vs West Ham | Sport Grill

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