Tomorrow’s lunchtime game sees fourth placed Watford travel to Stamford Bridge to meet Chelsea.

The Hornets are surprisingly sitting two points above the reigning champions so could they pull a sting out of the Blue?

 

Team News

Chelsea have an injury nightmare to contend with before actually naming a team.

Victor Moses joins ex Leicester stars; Danny Drinkwater and N’Golo Kante on the sidelines with a hamstring injury.

Defenders, David Luiz and Tiemoue Bakayoko both face late fitness tests once arrive at Stamford Bridge.

Watford on other hand have no new injuries to report.

Younes Kaboul and Sebastian Prodl are still out alongside three long term absentees, which includes Nathaniel Chalobah and Isaac Success.

 

Form

Chelsea enter this in dire straits squad wise but their form is good.

After losing at home to Burnley on the opening day, they have only suffered two defeats since then in all competitions.

Both losses did come either side of the international break against Manchester City and Crystal Palace respectively in the league.

Watford have made an impressive start with just one league defeat, coming last month at Vicarage Road against Manchester City in a 0-6 lost.

They however beat Arsenal last weekend, so come here with plenty of belief in claiming a second London scalp in consecutive weeks.

 

Stat Attack

  • Chelsea are unbeaten this century against Watford winning 9 and drawing three of their 12 meetings in all domestic competitions.
  • The Blues last lost at home to Watford in May 1986 by a 1-5 result and finished that season in sixth position.
  • Michy Batshuayi scored in both meetings with the Hornets last season, including a 4-3 win in May.

 

Clinical finishing required

Comparing Chelsea’s home stats to that of Watford’s away numbers on Footstats.co.uk, clinical finishing looks like it could be key.

As seen in the above graphics, both teams have averaged 13.5 shots per game home/away respectively.

Turn that into shots on target and Chelsea has the edge with a 4.75 shots on target average compared to Watford’s 4.25 shots facing the goal.

The fact that 0.5 shots on target splits these clubs suggests that a tight contest is in store.

Goal wise is interesting because Chelsea and their visitors have averaged an evenly matched one goal per game.

Watford are much more superior on the road, when it comes to goal averages compared to those hosting them.

The Hornets have averaged two goals per away game whilst their hosts have a combined average of 0.75 goals against them.

Those stats mean that the victor from this game could come down to who has the better clinical finishing.

 

Prediction

With Watford above Chelsea in the league table entering this fixture, I think that how much of how things turn out will come down to whether Watford get too confident here.

Should they keep their head and Marco Silva maintain his strong record against the big six, having taken eight points across nine meetings (including those games when he was Hull City manager last season) then they should at least nick a draw. 

Ultimately, I think that the Hornets will take this purely because of Chelsea’s squad issues. 

Prediction: Chelsea 1-2 Watford

Jake predicts: Chelsea 2-0 Watford

Result: Chelsea 4-2 Watford

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