Predictions

Saturday 23rd September 2017 PL Predictions

Another weekend of Premier League action has arrived after many teams featured in midweek, playing for the Carabao Cup.

Highlights include West Ham vs Tottenham, Stoke vs Chelsea and can Liverpool avoid a fourth consecutive defeat at the King Power Stadium in all competitions?

 

West Ham vs Tottenham

Both teams have improved in form since returning from the international break, making this an exciting match in prospect.

West Ham has dominated this fixture recently, winning three of their last four home games against Spurs. That run includes their last meeting in May, which cost Tottenham the Premier League title.

Tottenham however have been in better form lately with scalps including; Everton, Borussia Dortmund and Barnsley.

The key players here will be Manuel Lanzini and Harry Kane.

Lanzini is a strong midfielder for the Hammers and has a habit of saving his goals for London derbies.

Kane is already back amongst the goals with five goals so far this month (two for England and three for Spurs). He also has a habit of scoring in a London derby but more so against the Hammers, having netted on five occasions.

From my PoV, this will be a tight affair with both teams scoring but Tottenham needs the win more given their Wembley instability.

Prediction: West Ham 1-2 Tottenham Hotspur

Jake predicts: West Ham 0-2 Tottenham Hotspur

Result: West Ham 2-3 Tottenham Hotspur

 

Everton vs Bournemouth

This match could well be another thriller given the current issues facing both teams.

Everton currently sit in a goal rout but Bournemouth’s defence can be wobbly at times.

Given that the Cherries are missing players to injury, this is understandable and seems to be ending, based on recent results.

One of Everton’s best hopes is that they continue their unbeaten home record against Bournemouth, having won all four meetings without a single draw.

In my opinion, this looks like a draw but I fancy Bournemouth to win here. I say this because Everton’s form isn’t that easy to reverse and the Cherries look back to their best.

Prediction: Everton 0-1 Bournemouth

Jake predicts: Everton 3-0 Bournemouth

Result: Everton 2-1 Bournemouth

 

Manchester City vs Crystal Palace

Manchester City enter this weekend on top by alphabet whilst Crystal Palace sit bottom with their only victories coming in the Carabao Cup.

City have only lost one home match since the start of last season which only serves to make the Eagles’ task all the more daunting.

Roy Hodgson might be in charge of Palace now but I don’t see a win coming here, given that their five previous trips to the Etihad have ended in defeat. 

Prediction: Manchester City 3-0 Crystal Palace

Jake predicts: Manchester City 2-0 Crystal Palace

Result: Manchester City 5-0 Crystal Palace

 

Southampton vs Manchester United

Manchester United come to St Marys looking to reclaim top spot, having been overtaken by their city rivals on alphabetical order after recording identical records so far this season.

Southampton have this inability to score goals at home, having drawn blanks in eight of their last ten home matches. That has to change here if they are to stop Jose Mourinho’s men from marching on.

Mourinho himself has form issues but on the away front because the Red Devils have only won once in their last six away games.

Man Utd have a habit of getting most of their goals in the final stages with nine goals coming after the 80th minute. That is more than the totalled goal tally of their 17 league rivals.

As for the match itself, I can see this being tight but expect United to pull through with a couple of late goals.

Prediction: Southampton 0-2 Manchester United

Jake predicts: Southampton 1-3 Manchester United

Result: Southampton 0-1 Manchester United 

 

Stoke vs Chelsea

Stoke will fancy their chances here, having already beaten Arsenal and held Manchester United at the Bet365 Stadium.

Their record against Chelsea however is dreadful with only two league wins in 18 meetings.

That coupled with manager – Mark Hughes’ record of 15 defeats against the Blues, makes this a tough task for the Potters.

Interestingly, Chelsea last won their opening three away games in 2009. The third win coincidentally came against Stoke and they went on to become champions that season.

If looking for something that could cost Chelsea, look no further than their disciplinary record. Five of their last nine league games have seen at least one red card for Antonio Conte’s side.

Its easy to predict another Chelsea win but with Jese amongst Stoke’s key players, this could be tougher than expected.

Ineligible loanee Kurt Zouma could well pass on some knowledge of how Chelsea play under Conte. Should he do so, I expect a draw here if the on field players can maximise his advice to full effect.

Prediction: Stoke City 1-1 Chelsea

Jake predicts: Stoke City 0-1 Chelsea

Result: Stoke City 0-4 Chelsea

 

Swansea vs Watford

Swansea are still looking for their first home win of the season, having lost to Manchester United and Newcastle at the Liberty Stadium so far this season.

Watford are a stronger outfit under Marco Silva and will be looking to recover from last weekend’s 6-0 home destruction by Manchester City. They are however winless in Swansea since 1983, making this a tough game for them to get back on track.

This Premier League fixture has only produced three goals in last four clashes, so don’t  expect much here.

Getting shots on goal has been the Swans’ problem this season, with just 25.81% of shots on target from their opening five games.

Only the bottom three, Southampton and West Bromwich Albion have a worse percentage of shots on target, according to Footstats across the same period.

Watford have had 27.27% of their shots on target. Although that isn’t much more % wise than Swansea, the plain figures say that the Hornets have had 15 on target to Swansea’s eight.

Ultimately, I see Watford ending their nightmare run of away trips in Swansea here because they have goal scorers across the pitch and will do the job here.

Prediction: Swansea 0-2 Watford

Jake predicts: Swansea 1-2 Watford

Result: Swansea 1-2 Watford

 

Leicester vs Liverpool

Liverpool return to Leicester looking to avoid further embarrassment, having lost their last three trips to the King Power Stadium. The most recent defeat just happened to come on Tuesday in the Carabao Cup.

This match is Leicester’s chance to make it four consecutive home wins across all competitions over the Reds for the first time ever. Victory will also give them a new top flight home record against Liverpool with three wins.

Jamie Vardy is back fit, having sat out the midweek game with a groin injury. For the Reds, that is a nightmare scenario given his recent exploits against them.

Jurgen Klopp’s men however have more to sort out, never mind worrying over Vardy. This season has already seen them ship 16 goals across all of their competitions, a performance is needed here to settle any nerves amongst fans.

Liverpool have a long trip to Russia early next week to face Spartak Moscow in the Champions League. Could that well affect how he approaches this game in terms of squad selection?

Tuesday saw a decent first half performance by Liverpool but the defence just disappeared in the second half. If they can defend better here throughout the match, those Foxes will have a tougher time.

I however see Leicester breaking through and getting another win, purely because Liverpool need to not wear themselves out ahead of next week.

Prediction: Leicester 2-0 Liverpool

Jake predicts: Leicester 2-1 Liverpool

Result: Leicester 2-3 Liverpool

 

Prediction Wars

Here at Sport Grill, me and Jake Self are going head to head predicting games. Here is how things stand after last weekend’s games.

Correct score – 3 points

Correct result – 1 point

Incorrect result – 0 points

 

Name Points
James Gregory 26
Jake Self 26

 

 

 

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